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Papers in Refereed Journals Celik Girgin, S., Karlis, T., & Duru, O. (2019). Valuation mismatch
and shipping q indicator for shipping asset management. Maritime Policy &
Management, 1-18. Jeon, J. W., Duru,
O., & Yeo, G. T. (2019). Cruise port centrality and spatial patterns
of cruise shipping in the Asian market. Maritime Policy & Management,
46(3), 257-276. Bekiroglu, K., Duru,
O., Gulay, E., Su, R., & Lagoa, C. (2018). Predictive analytics of crude oil
prices by utilizing the intelligent model search engine. Applied energy, 228,
2387-2397. Duru,
O., Shibasaki, R., & Segi, S.
(2019). Editorial: Maritime transport in regional context, governance and
environmental phenomenon. Duru,
O., Golan, R., &
Quintana, D. (2018). Computational Intelligence in Finance and Economics
[Guest Editorial]. IEEE Computational Intelligence Magazine, 13(4), 13-13. Gharehgozli, A., Duru, O., & Bulut, E. (2018). Input Data Range Optimization
for Freight Rate Forecasting Using the Rolling Window Testing Procedure.
International Journal of Transport Economics, 45(3). Duru,
O., Clott, C., & Mileski, J. P. (2017). US tanker
transport: Current structure and economic analysis. Research in
transportation business & management, 25, 39-50. Duru,
O., & Butler, M.
(2017). Modeling and Forecasting with Fuzzy Time Series and Artificial Neural
Networks. In Advances in Business and Management Forecasting (pp. 155-180).
Emerald Publishing Limited. Duru,
O. (2017). On the
Causal Models of Fuzzy Time Series. In Advances in Business and Management
Forecasting (pp. 137-153). Emerald Publishing Limited. Gharehgozli, A. H., J. Mileski and Duru O. (2016). Heuristic Estimation of Container Stacking and
Reshuffling Operations under the Containership Delay Factor and Mega-Ship
Challenge. Maritime Policy and Management. Angelopoulos J.,
O. Duru, C. Chlomoudis (2016).
Spectral dynamics of dry cargo shipping markets. theory of long
waves–fact or artifact. International Journal of Transport Economics, 43 (2),
227-246. Bulut E., Huang S.T. and Duru O. (2015). A
Multi-Dimension QFD Design for the Service Quality Assessment of Kansai
International Airport-Japan. Total Quality Management & Business
Excellence. Huang S.T., Bulut E. and Duru O. (2015).
Multi-dimensional Service Improvement under the Multi-Customer Nature
of Container Terminals. International Journal of Shipping and Transport
Logistics. Bulut, E., Duru,
O. and Koçak, G. (2015). Rotational priority investigation in fuzzy
analytic hierarchy process design: An empirical study on the marine engine
selection problem. Applied Mathematical Modelling, 39(2), 913-923. Huang, S. T., Bulut, E., Duru, O., Hwan, C. N. Y. and Yoshida, S. (2015). Service quality
assessment in liner shipping industry: an empirical study on Asian shipping
case. International Journal of Shipping and Transport Logistics, 7(2),
221-242. Duru,
O. (2015).
Irrationality in Politics and Governance of Maritime Affairs: The Collapse of
Sovereign Maritime Governance. International Journal of e-Navigation and
Maritime Economy, 1, 48-59. Duru,
O., Brooks, M. R.,
Talley, W. and Yeo, G. T. (2014). Editorial: Governance in the Maritime
Industry, Selected papers from The Conference of International Association of
Maritime Economists, Theme: “Maritime Economics in a Post-Expansion Panama
Canal Era”, July 15-18, 2014. The Asian Journal of Shipping and Logistics,
30(3), 269-271. Duru,
O. and Bulut, E.
(2014). A non-linear clustering method for fuzzy time series: Histogram
damping partition under the optimized cluster paradox. Applied Soft
Computing, 24, 742-748. Tuna, O. and Duru,
O. (2013). Editorial: Current
State and Future of Shipping and Logistics. The Asian Journal of Shipping
& Logistics, 29(2), 121-124. Duru,
O. (2013). Irrational exuberance, overconfidence and
short-termism: Knowledge-to-action asymmetry in shipping asset management.
The Asian Journal of Shipping & Logistics, 29(1), 43-58. Bulut E., Duru
O. and Yoshida, S. (2013). Market
entry, asset returns, and irrational exuberance: Asset management anomalies
in dry cargo shipping. International Journal of Shipping and Transport
Logistics, 5(6), 652-667 (Selected by Guest Editor Paul Tae Woo Lee for
special issue @IAME 2012 Conference, Taipei, Taiwan). Huang S.T., Bulut E., Duru O. and Yoshida, S. (2013).
Service quality evaluation of international logistics company: An
empirical case using QFD approach. JRI Journal of International Logistics and
Trade, Vol. 10(3), 31-54 (Selected for special issue @IAME 2012 Conference,
Taipei, Taiwan). Duru,
O., Huang, S.T.,
Bulut E. and Yoshida, S. (2012). Multi-Layer Quality Function Deployment (QFD)
approach for improving the compromised quality satisfaction under the agency
problem: A 3D QFD design for the asset selection problem in the shipping
industry. Quality & Quantity, June 2013, Vol. 47(4), 2259-2280. Bulut E., Duru
O. and Yoshida, S. (2012). Fuzzy
integrated logical forecasting model for the time charter rates of dry bulk
shipping: A vector autoregressive design of fuzzy time series with fuzzy
c-means clustering. Maritime Economics & Logistics, Vol. 14, 300-318
(Selected by Guest Editor Kevin Cullinane for special issue @IAME 2011
Conference, Santiago, Chile). Duru,
O., Bulut E. and
Yoshida, S. (2012). Regime switching AHP model for choice-varying priorities
problem and expert consistency prioritization: A cubic fuzzy-priority matrix design.
Expert Systems with Applications, Vol. 39(5), 4954-4964. Duru,
O. (2012). A
multivariate model of Fuzzy Integrated Logical Forecasting method (M-FILF)
and multiplicative time series clustering: A model of time-varying volatility
for dry cargo freight market. Expert Systems with Applications, Vol. 39(4),
4135-4142. Huang S.T., Bulut E., Duru O. and Yoshida, S. (2012). Service Quality Evaluation of
International Logistics Company: An Empirical Case Using QFD Approach.
Journal of International Logistics and Trade, Vol. 10(3), 31-54. Bulut E., Duru
O., Keçeci T. and Yoshida, S. (2012).
Use of consistency index, decision prioritization and direct numerical
inputs for generic Fuzzy-AHP modeling: A process model for shipping asset
management. Expert Systems with Applications, Vol. 39(2), 1911-1923. Duru
O., Bulut E. and
Yoshida, S. (2012). A fuzzy extended
DELPHI method for adjustment of statistical time series prediction: An
empirical study on dry bulk freight market case. Expert Systems with
Applications, Vol. 39(1), 840-848. Duru,
O. and Yoshida, S.
(2011). Long term freight market index
and inferences (Int. Exchange Award-JSLSE, republication by the copyright
transfer of the Journal of Logistics and Shipping Economics). The Asian
Journal of Shipping & Logistics, Vol. 27(3), 405-422. Duru,
O. (2011). Incentives and sentiments in shipping
investments: Intermediary prospects between the impatient capital and
long-term competitiveness. Journal of Logistics and Shipping Economics, Vol.
45, 63-72. Duru
O., and Yoshida, S.
(2011). Intra-week Trends in Dry Bulk
Freight Market: Models of Short Term Estimation. Journal of the Eastern Asia
Society for Transportation Studies, Vol. 9, pp. 58-65. Duru
O., and Yoshida, S.
(2011). Centennial decline of shipping
freight rates and life cycle effect: Theory of long term cycles. Journal of
Faculty of Maritime, Dokuz Eylul University, Turkey, Vol. 3, Issue 2, pp.
59-77. Duru
O., Bulut E. and
Yoshida, S. (2010). Bivariate long
term fuzzy time series forecasting of dry cargo freight rates. The Asian
Journal of Shipping & Logistics, Vol. 26(2), 205-223. Duru,
O. and Yoshida, S.
(2010). Long term freight market index
and inferences. Journal of Logistics and Shipping Economics, Vol. 44, 39-48
(International Exchange Award-JSLSE). Bulut E., Duru,
O. and Yoshida, S. (2010).
Multi-attribute decision making for crew nationality pattern selection
in the shipping business: An empirical study for Turkish shipping case. The
Asian Journal of Shipping & Logistics, Vol. 26(1), 139-152. Duru,
O. (2010). Fuzzy integrated logical forecasting model
for dry bulk shipping index forecasting: An improved fuzzy time series
approach. Expert Systems with Applications, Vol. 37(7), 5372-5380. Duru,
O. and Yoshida, S.
(2009). Judgmental forecasting in the
dry bulk shipping business: Statistical vs. judgmental approach. The Asian
Journal of Shipping & Logistics, Vol. 25(2), 189-217. Proceedings of Refereed Conferences Duru, O. (2014).
The Anatomy of the Ship Mortgage Crisis and Regulative Instruments.
International Conference of Asian Shipping and Logistics (ICASL) 2014, Seoul. Duru O. (2014). Motivations behind Irrationality in
the Shipping Asset Management: Assumptions Drive Investors. The Conference of
International Association of Maritime Economists, Norfolk VA. Bulut E. and Duru O. (2014). Retrospective Data Size
Setting for Financial Ship Valuation: The Market Price vs. Asset Valuation
Paradox and the Long Term Asset Valuation. The Conference of International
Association of Maritime Economists, Norfolk VA. Huang S.T., Bulut E. and Duru O. (2014).
Multi-dimensional Service Improvement under the Multi-Customer Nature of Port
Terminal. The Conference of International Association of Maritime Economists,
Norfolk VA. Duru O. (2014). Irrationality in politics and
governance of maritime affairs: The collapse of sovereign maritime governance.
International Symposium on Advanced Intelligent Maritime Safety and
Technology, Mokpo. Duru O. (2013). The role of predictions in Transport
Policy making and the forecasting profession: Common failures in the
literature. World Conference on Transport Research, Young Initiative, Rio de
Janeiro. Duru O., Bulut E., Huang S.T. and Yoshida, S.
(2012). Shipping performance
assessment and the role of key performance indicators (KPIs): “Quality
Function Deployment” for transforming ship-owner’s expectation. The
Conference of International Association of Maritime Economists, Taipei,
Taiwan (Available at SSRN: http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2195984). Bulut E., Duru O. and Yoshida, S. (2012). Market entry, asset returns, and irrational
exuberance: Asset management anomalies in dry cargo shipping. The Conference
of International Association of Maritime Economists, Taipei, Taiwan (Selected
for special issue of International Journal of Shipping and Transport
Logistics). Huang S.T., Bulut E., Duru O. and Yoshida, S.
(2012). Service quality evaluation of
international logistics company: An empirical case using QFD approach. The
Conference of International Association of Maritime Economists, Taipei,
Taiwan (Selected for JRI Journal of International Logistics and Trade). Gao Z.Y., Duru O., Bulut E., Huang S.T. and Yoshida,
S. (2012). Performance assessment for
liner shipping industry: A multi-attribute analysis by the Balanced Scorecard
(BSC). The Conference of International Association of Maritime Economists,
Taipei, Taiwan. Duru, O. (2012).
Irrational exuberance, overconfidence and short-termism:
Knowledge-to-action asymmetry in shipping asset management. International
Conference of Asian Shipping and Logistics (ICASL) 2012, Yeosu (Selected for
Asian Journal of Shipping & Logistics). Duru, O., Yoshida, S. and Y. Volkan Aydogdu (2012).
The Lead-lag interactions between dry cargo freight market and the vessel
traffic in Istanbul Strait. WCTRS SIG2 Maritime and Ports Conference 2012,
Antwerp. Bulut E., Duru, O. and Yoshida, S. (2012).
Exponential Length of Intervals for Fuzzy Time Series Forecasting.
Computational Intelligence for Financial Engineering and Economics 2012-IEEE,
New York. Duru, O. and Yoshida, S. (2012). Modeling principles
in fuzzy time series forecasting. Computational Intelligence for Financial
Engineering and Economics 2012-IEEE, New York. Bulut E., Duru O. and Yoshida, S. (2011). Fuzzy integrated logical forecasting model
for the time charter rates of dry bulk shipping: A vector autoregressive
design of fuzzy time series with fuzzy c-means clustering. The Conference of
International Association of Maritime Economists, Santiago, Chile (selected
for journal publication). Duru, O. and Yoshida, S. (2011). Is Fuzzy Time Series a fallacy? :
Potentials and limitations of fuzzy set approach in time series analysis.
International Symposium on Forecasting, Prague. Duru, O. and Yoshida, S. (2011). Intra-week Trends in Dry Bulk Freight
Market: Models of Short Term Estimation. Proceedings of the Eastern Asia
Society for Transportation Studies, Vol.8, Jeju. Duru, O., Bulut E. and Yoshida, S. (2010). Delphi forecasting in shipping industry:
Performance and validity. The First Global International Conference on
Innovation in Marine Technology and Future of Maritime Transportation,
Istanbul. Bulut E., Duru, O., and Aydogdu, V. (2010). Comparative Analysis for the Selection of
Hazardous Area in Istanbul Strait. The First Global International Conference
on Innovation in Marine Technology and Future of Maritime Transportation,
Istanbul. Duru, O. and Yoshida, S. (2010). Seasonality
patterns in dry cargo vessel traffic of the Strait of Istanbul and
interactions with freight rates. The 3rd International Conference on
Transportation and Logistics (T-LOG), Fukuoka. Bulut E., Duru, O. and Yoshida, S. (2010).
Chartering strategy selection in the dry bulk shipping assets: Spot vs.
period trading. The 3rd International Conference on Transportation and
Logistics (T-LOG), Fukuoka. Bulut E., Duru, O. and Yoshida, S. (2010).
Management strategy for shipping company: Multi-attribute decision making
process in the management outsourcing. The 3rd International Conference on
Transportation and Logistics (T-LOG), Fukuoka. Bulut E., Yoshida, S. and Duru, O. (2010). Cognitive model of dry bulk carrier
investment decision by utilizing Analytic Hierarchy Process. The 8th IEEE
Conference on Industrial Informatics (INDIN), Osaka. Duru, O. and Yoshida, S. (2010). Fuzzy time series methods for shipping
freight markets. The 12th World Conference on Transport Research, Lisbon. Duru, O., Bulut E. and Yoshida, S. (2010). Modeling and simulation of variability and
uncertainty in ship investments: Implementation of fuzzy Monte-Carlo method.
The 12th World Conference on Transport Research, Lisbon. Duru, O. and Yoshida, S. (2010). Life expectancy and shipping costs:
Interactions on bicentennial life cycles. The Conference of International
Association of Maritime Economists, Lisbon. Duru, O., Bulut E. and Yoshida, S. (2010). Pattern recognition by heuristic fuzzy
inference system for shipping market volatility. The Conference of International
Association of Maritime Economists, Lisbon. Duru, O. (2010).
Theory of shipping productivity revisited: industrial revolution, ship
technology and shipping freight rates. The 74th Conference of Japan Society
of History of Economic Thought, Toyama. Duru, O. and Yurtoren, C. (2010). Collective solidarity and social incentives
as a shipping policy (in Turkish). The Conference of National Society on
Coastal Zone, Trabzon. Duru, O., Bulut E. and Yoshida, S. (2010). Bivariate long term fuzzy time series
forecasting of dry cargo freight rates. Gwangyang Port Forum and the 3rd AJSL
Conference, Gwangyang. Bulut E., Duru, O. and Yoshida, S. (2010). Multi-attribute analysis of ship
investments under technical terms: A fuzzy extended TOPSIS approach.
International Conference on Industrial and Logistics Technology-IEEE,
Singapore. Duru, O., Bulut E. and Yoshida, S. (2010). Fuzzy extended group consensus of
judgmental adjustments on statistical forecasts. International Conference on
Computer and Automation Engineering, Singapore. Duru, O. and Yoshida, S. (2009). Long term freight market index and
inferences. The Conference of Japan Society of Logistics and Shipping
Economics, Hitotsubashi University, Tokyo. Duru, O. and Yoshida, S. (2009). Comparative analysis of fuzzy time series
and judgmental forecasting: An empirical study of forecasting dry bulk
shipping index. International Symposium on Forecasting, Hong Kong. Duru, O. and Yoshida, S. (2008). Composite forecast: A new approach for forecasting
shipping markets. The Conference of International Association of Maritime
Economists, Dalian. Duru, O. (2007). Shipping cost analysis for Turkish
coal import. The International Logistics Congress, Istanbul. Duru, O. and Ekinci, Y. (2007). Weighted ordinal intersection method
application for shipping projects. The International IFAC Symposium on
Computational Economics & Financial and Industrial Systems, Istanbul. Duru, O. and Guler, N. (2007). Turkish coal import shipping, Turkish fleet
supply-demand analysis. The Conference of International Association of
Maritime Economists, Athens. Book Reviews The
Shipping Man (A
Novel), Matthew McCleery (Author), Marine Money International, 2nd edition
(Asian Journal of Shipping and Logistics, in press). Maritime
Governance and Policy Making, Michael Roe (Author), Springer-Verlag, London, 2013, first edition
(The Asian Journal of Shipping and Logistics, Vol.29 (3) Dec 2013 Issue). Dynasties
of the Sea: The Shipowners and Financiers Who Expanded the Era of Free Trade, Lori Ann LaRocco (Author), Matthew McCleery
(Epilogue, Preface), Martin Stopford (Afterword), Lawrence Lindsey
(Foreword), Marine Money, Intl.; 1st edition (November 12, 2012) (The Asian
Journal of Shipping and Logistics, Vol.29(2) Aug 2013 Issue). Invited Talks & Special Lectures Guest Speaker: “Behavioral Economics and Finance in the
Transportation Industry”, Logistics and Transport Conference to Exchange Best
Practices on Regulations and Experiences in ASEAN Region, 10-11 December
2014, Ha Noi, Viet Nam. Guest Speaker: “Towards regulatory best practice in
facilitating trade and investment in logistics and transport services”,
Logistics and Transport Conference to Exchange Best Practices on Regulations
and Experiences In ASEAN Region, 10-11 December 2014, Ha Noi,
Viet Nam. Special Lecture:
“Behavioral Economics of Shipping
Business”, 28th November 2014, The Hong Kong Polytechnic University, Hong
Kong. Guest Speaker: “Liquidity Trap and Arbitrary Valuation in
the Shipping Business: The Anatomy of the Ship Mortgage Crisis”, October
30th – November 2nd 2014, ICASL 2014, Seoul, South Korea. Invited Lecture:
“Fundamentals of Economics”, 30th
September 2014, Curriculum Development & Academic Twinning Seminar for
Savannakhet University, JICA Lao PDR & IMaRC Kobe University, Kobe,
Japan. Guest Speaker: “Functions of Maritime Governance and
Maritime Policy: Focus of Rule-maker and Illusion of Control”, 14th March
2014, Joint seminar with the Department of Public Works and Transport (DPWT),
Savannakhet University, Savannakhet, Lao PDR. Guest Speaker: “Bicentennial cycles of dry cargo
shipping: An economic history perspective. The theory of centennial decline
revisited”, 28th March 2011, Kansai Chapter Meeting, Japan Society of
Logistics & Shipping Economics, Kobe, Japan. Publications in the lay press or
Scientific magazines The
Maritime Economist Duru, O. Editorial: Rolling the Snowball, June 2015. Duru, O. Editorial: Maritime Empathy: ME - How can
we integrate academic and business excellence?,
March 2015. Lloyd’s
Shipping Economist Duru, O. and Yoshida, S. Market psychology, August
2008. Marine & Commerce Duru, O. Tonnage trends of Turkish coal import
shipping, June 2007. Duru, O. Market Analysis and current issues in port
projects, July 2007. Duru, O. What does the abundance of new construction
in 2007 signal? September 2007. Duru, O. Ceyhan: New player in tanker
transportation, October 2007. Duru, O. Education abroad a new generation of
directors in shipping, November 2007. Duru, O. Cartels in shipping: Is shipping an open
market or a monopoly? December 2007. Duru, O. Forecasting in shipping: Freight market,
catalyst countries and future scenarios, January 2008. Duru, O. World merchant fleet - Fleet capacity
snowballs, February 2008. Duru, O. Gales in freight, March 2008. Duru, O. Seasonality in dry bulk, April 2008. Duru, O. Post-2008 scenarios in dry bulk freight
market, May 2008. Duru, O. Transport geography and long term
metamorphosis, June 2008. Duru, O. Megatrends & Barriers of ports, July
2008. Duru, O. How risky is inflation? August 2008. ‘Persembe Rotasý’- Route of Thursday Weekly Turkish
Shipping Journal Duru, O. Turkish Tanker Fleet and Crude Oil
Shipping, June 2, 2005. Duru, O. Dry Bulk Market: Resistance Point of Downward
Trend, How Much Near? August 11, 2005. Duru, O. German Flag Trend: KG Shipping, April,
2006. Duru, O. Freight Derivatives & FFA Market, July,
2006. “KAIUN” (海運) Japanese Shipping Magazine Duru, O. and Yoshida, S. (2009). Forecasting shipping markets under
unexpected movements: Judgmental forecasting is an option (in Japanese).
KAIUN Japanese Shipping Magazine 976, 107-109. |
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Copyright Okan Duru©2014